Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 7.150496 7.872275 8.655109 9.570557 10.615895 11.777243 13.171893
2026-01-11 6.018073 6.946242 8.017657 9.357020 11.002224 12.977809 15.561325
2026-01-18 5.521187 6.588412 7.876344 9.567024 11.761137 14.559842 18.479379
2026-01-25 5.002977 6.119468 7.512531 9.410868 11.982578 15.425238 20.526235
2026-02-01 4.608671 5.754875 7.225744 9.295258 12.205673 16.272451 22.615228
2026-02-08 4.272398 5.429472 6.950386 9.150482 12.348036 16.990956 24.580242
2026-02-15 3.973583 5.126629 6.674094 8.967630 12.399765 17.558858 26.363782
2026-02-22 3.758175 4.918866 6.507849 8.918809 12.631151 18.406445 28.702701
2026-03-01 3.493408 4.623763 6.195460 8.624772 12.451615 18.572793 29.884880
2026-03-08 3.222033 4.302921 5.824714 8.212407 12.044319 18.315744 30.259279
2026-03-15 3.051884 4.116960 5.637788 8.064995 12.044358 18.732530 31.928201
2026-03-22 3.105941 4.257630 5.939652 8.699097 13.383827 21.612608 38.850278
2026-03-29 3.022239 4.193968 5.935167 8.853444 13.945722 23.211609 43.597987
2026-04-05 2.860716 4.004737 5.726032 8.655925 13.872060 23.614455 45.857130
2026-04-12 2.800656 3.966076 5.748588 8.845802 14.510503 25.473700 51.822251
2026-04-19 2.673796 3.817069 5.585992 8.704726 14.519792 26.067548 54.893035
2026-04-26 2.564261 3.689617 5.450593 8.600239 14.586473 26.785547 58.438106
2026-05-03 2.457426 3.561280 5.306487 8.469337 14.588015 27.361847 61.745725
2026-05-10 2.351309 3.429307 5.149407 8.303920 14.505089 27.740291 64.601931
2026-05-17 2.274950 3.341888 5.062150 8.259737 14.661985 28.679774 69.316401
2026-05-24 2.163022 3.192025 4.862169 7.993484 14.337614 28.460666 70.498085
2026-05-31 2.038262 3.016849 4.612022 7.619634 13.760470 27.581135 69.446618
2026-06-07 1.962374 2.919653 4.491934 7.485859 13.682956 27.904032 72.363046